It’s been fairly warm this February. So much so that it feels like it’s already spring and it’s here to stay. A quick glance at the calendar says it’s still February and winter isn’t over just yet. While meteorological spring starts in a week on March 1st, astronomical spring is still a month away. Don’t let the warm air keep your guard down.
The warm air this week will eventually move out of a good portion of the country by the weekend, being replaced by somewhat more seasonable temperatures. The snow will be around too in some spots! Parts of the Plains and Western Great Lakes look to see snow Thursday and Friday as a low pressure system tracks through the region. Several inches of snow are possible across parts of Nebraska, South Dakota, northern Iowa and, southern Minnesota and northern Wisconsin. The highest amounts of snow will likely fall in the UP of Michigan, northern Wisconsin, and parts of Minnesota, where 8-12 inches of snow could accumulate.
At the same time, this system may drive some strong to severe storms across the lower Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Friday night. In the end, cold air will fill in across a good portion of the country through the weekend, with a brief warm up coming around the end of the month for the southern states and eastern US but this will be pretty brief. Cold air will again win out and we look to stay cold for a few days across a majority of the county as we head into early March.
How Will March Fare?
While we will cool down in early March, temperatures look to only briefly drop below average. The Climate Prediction Center is predicting a fairly warm March across the southern US and a near normal month across a large portion of the country with cold air generally being kept at bay in the Northern Plains and Rocky Mountains. Precipitation looks to be above average in the Southeast US and the Northern Plains with continued dry conditions across western Texas, much of New Mexico and parts of Arizona possible.
However, as we head into early spring, much of the country looks to see above average temperatures. This means part of March will likely see above average temperatures, with the likelihood of seeing warmer temperatures more often as we move into late March and beyond. April and May look to be warm months as well.
Whatever you do, don’t put the snow shovels or winter coats away just yet. We’ll still see some snow in many spots, even across the east coast, but we’ll likely see low impact storms, which only bring a few inches of snow. It will turn colder but we don’t look to see much in the way of prolonged cold air or bone chilling cold air. We’ll see warmer weather in March that will gradually become more prolonged as we enter spring. Early March looks to be chilly to start but we’ll likely warm up and stay there as we enter the middle of the month, with the end of the month also looking warm.