A Messy Morning Commute Is Likely Across Much of Northern Ohio.
It’s time for a warm up! After several days of chilly Arctic air and wind chills around zero, we’re finally going to get a little break as temperatures march toward 50 or better by Wednesday! But in the process, the warm front bringing the warmer air is going to cause some issues with snow, freezing rain and sleet all possible early Tuesday morning.
First, a band of moderate snow will move through the northern half of Ohio, bringing around an inch of snow to many places. Some places in the higher terrain east of Cleveland may receive slightly higher amounts. The snow will start 9-10 PM in Western Ohio and reach Columbus around midnight and Cleveland around 2 AM. Places like Ashtabula and Youngstown will begin seeing snow by 4 AM. Behind it will be a quick break in the action before round two moves in to the state.
Some snow may precede the freezing rain initially but the freezing will eventually take over fairly quickly from west to east. Freezing rain and perhaps some sleet will start in western Ohio around 4 AM and quickly increase in coverage and intensity. By 7 AM, freezing rain will spread over an area that includes Columbus, Mansfield, Findlay, Toledo, Lorain, Medina and the west side of Cleveland. A period of 3-5 hours of freezing is likely in many locations, especially north of US Route 30. By noon, everything will transition to rain but we’ll also see the rain become more scattered with moderate rainfall working into the state between 1 PM in western Ohio to 4 PM for much of the rest of the state.
- Winter Weather Advisory and Freezing Rain Advisory in effect (see image below)
- Snow accumulations around an inch possible.
- Freezing rain will build in early Tuesday morning, making for a tricky commute.
- Ice accumulations should generally be light but some locations could approach 0.10” (a tenth of one inch)
- Untreated surfaces will be icy and very slippery!
- Rain moves in along with above freezing temperatures in the afternoon.
There is concern that ice accumulations could reach or exceed 0.10” through the period tomorrow morning as one model does show this possibility. This model has done very well handling various weather conditions this year and has handled lake effect events better than any other model so far. However, this model is the “outlier” compared to other high resolution models, which generally show a glaze of ice for most areas. Of course, a glaze of ice is all it takes to cause several accidents and make for a very messy morning commute. Higher totals would be concerning in terms of coating tree branches and power lines.
Tuesday afternoon will also be extremely windy with winds of 20-30 MPH. Wind gusts could reach 50 MPH at times. This may also bring down some tree branches and cause power outages. It will also make driving high profile vehicles more difficult. If you will be outdoors in the afternoon or driving, use extra caution and watch for objects like trash cans blowing around in the roadway. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 AM Tuesday through 1 AM Wednesday for much of Northeast Ohio (image below).
Continue to monitor the Ohio First Warn Weather Facebook page for more updates!
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